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ML:EURONEXT PARISCie Generale des Etablissements Michelin SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$18.99

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock trades just above a key support level and the short‑term moving average sits above the medium‑term average, suggesting a bullish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed – the RSI is in the oversold region while the MACD shows a bearish divergence, implying short‑term volatility. Valuation appears attractive, with a single‑digit forward P/E and a price‑to‑book ratio near parity, while the consensus target price points to substantial upside. The dividend yield is attractive at roughly four percent but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue has contracted modestly and profitability remains thin, with negative trailing EPS and a modest operating margin. The balance sheet is leveraged, featuring a debt‑to‑equity ratio well above one, yet cash flow generation is positive. The company benefits from a strong brand portfolio and a diversified global customer base, which could support a recovery as cyclical demand improves. Market sentiment is bullish, reflected in an “Extreme Greed” sentiment index, but the high beta and elevated 30‑day volatility underscore the need for caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near strong support
  • oversold momentum indicator
  • attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • significant upside to target price
  • single‑digit forward P/E
  • brand strength and market positioning

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • high leverage on balance sheet
  • cyclical industry exposure
  • potential for earnings improvement

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.60%
Profit Margin-0.68%
P/E Ratio8.4
ROE-1.57%
ROA3.80%
Debt/Equity133.79
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$206.9M
Free Cash Flow$113.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI33.0
Support$18.39
Resistance$23.18
MA 20$20.98
MA 50$20.17
MA 200$18.63
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index77.39

Valuation

Target Price$32.00
Upside/Downside68.51%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.11
Volatility34.04%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.